Suzanne is a trusted source on General Cooking.
I usually have 8-10 people over on Thanksgiving and I get a 18-20 lb turkey that feeds everyone generously and there are plenty of leftovers.
Monita is a Recipe Tester for Food52
I'd err on the side of larger and go with a 20#
I actually prefer to do two smaller turkeys. I can make more stock from the carcasses that way.
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