I agree with the 1lb per person. At a few catering events I've done that was the recommended amount. It also depends widely on how hungry they are feeling, how many sides you have, and if you really want leftovers. If that's the case 1lb - 1lb and a half.
I'd go with 1lb per person, with a few extra lbs for left overs - that would ensure there are plenty for turkey soup or sandwiches the next day! Personally, I could easily eat a pound of turkey meat. I can never pick between the thigh and breast! Then you have drumsticks and skin?! Impossible not to have some of each.
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